07/04/2002
Punctuation and Apple Brown Betty
When I was at Bell Labs, many outside scientists favored us with lectures. Stephen Jay Gould was one of them. To be perfectly honest, I don''t recall anything specific that he said but I do remember enjoying his talk immensely, thanks in large measure to his great sense of humor. Gould helped to shake up the world of paleontology and to give new life to the fossil record. He was a highly visible and involved scientist, who wrote and spoke extensively, helping to bring the lay public into contact with the scientific issues of the day. According to an "appreciation" by Jerry Adler in the June 3 Newsweek, Gould published a 1433- page work, "The Structure of Evolutionary Theory", only two months before his death. Gould died of cancer at the age of 60 a few weeks ago.
Gould''s death comes 30 years after the 1972 paper by Niles Eldredge and Gould titled "Punctuated equilibria: an alternative to phyletic gradualism". This doesn''t sound like a paper that would shake up paleontology and would be seized upon by some creationists to cast doubt upon Darwin''s theory of evolution. All this in spite of the fact that Eldredge and Gould were certainly not questioning the existence of evolution, but merely pointing out an alternate route for evolution to occur. The general understanding of Darwinian evolution had been that evolution proceeds gradually, with different species forming slowly over periods of many thousands or millions of years. As a result, the fossil record should show fossils changing gradually from one form to another as the layers of earth piled up.
But there was a problem - the so-called "missing links". Instead of finding this continuous record of change, there were gaps. A new species would appear in one layer without any obvious transitional species in an earlier layer. These gaps were usually explained by assuming that geological forces were such that the missing intervening fossils just weren''t preserved due to any number of factors such as changing rates of sedimentation, volcanic activity, earthquakes, flooding, erosion, disintegration of the fossils - you name it. All of these reasons sound sensible. After all, it''s remarkable that circumstances allowed the wealth of fossils that are preserved in strata that can be dated over billions of years.
But what about the "gradualism" in the title of that 1972 paper? What Eldredge and Gould did was to seize upon the gaps, those missing links. They proposed that the apparent sudden changes in species were just that -"sudden" changes. Their view was that species stayed pretty much the same, even for tens of millions of years. There might be changes in the forms of a species but these changes still preserved the essential nature of the species. For example, suppose the climate was warm and wet and there were very large turtles enjoying these conditions. Now suppose that the climate changed to one that was very dry and that this dry climate persisted. The turtles might gradually evolve to become much smaller to conserve the amounts of water and food required to survive in the dry environment. However, they would still be turtles. Another possibility would be that the turtles would simply die out and become extinct, unable to cope with the new environment.
Now let''s take another example (I''m making this up). Suppose we have a continent, half of which is a lush jungle environment. Suppose also that this lushness borders an equally large expanse of open grassland. This grassland won''t be very attractive to a species of animal, let''s call it a "fruiteater", that thrives on the fruits found in the jungle. Now suppose that one of our fruiteaters is born with a genetic "defect" that affects its sense of taste and it happens to nibble on some grass at the border. To its surprise, with his defective palate, it finds the grass more tasty than the fruit. Let''s assume this fellow mates and passes this taste for grass to its offspring. Well, there''s the rest of the continent with all that grass ripe for the taking! These offspring decide to leave their fellow fruiteaters and exploit all that grass.
They have a problem however. Their legs and hands were made to swing in trees and their stomachs are not really all that attuned to digesting grass. But, again by chance, another "defective" gene shows up that allows a helpful bacteria species to colonize a fruiteater''s gut and assist the fruiteater to digest the grass.
Now things happen "suddenly". (Remember, "suddenly" can be tens of thousands of years in geologic terms.) With all that grass out there, the fruiteater, now a "grasseater", multiplies rapidly. After a while, it loses its tail, no longer needed to hang from a tree. With lots of kinfolk in the grassland, other mutations are passed along that make the grasseater more suitable for its new surroundings. Finally, one of the male grasseaters wanders off looking for a mate and by chance ends up in the jungle. This guy doesn''t recognize those strange looking fruiteaters and they don''t recognize him. For sure, neither has any desire to mate with the other. We now have evolved a brand new species and, thanks to the golden opportunity provided by all that open grassland, it happened in a flash, geologically speaking.
A few hundred million years later, when paleontologists look at the fossil record, what do they see? A thick layer in which fruiteaters have been around for millions of years, while on top of that is a layer in which this grasseater suddenly appears. In other words, we have a long period of equilibrium "punctuated" by the appearance of a new species. The transition to the new species gets lost in the miniscule layer corresponding to those measly tens of thousands of years. Hence, "punctuated equilibrium".
The concept of punctuated equilibrium has deeper philosophical consequences. Most of Darwin''s followers espoused what biologists now call the "microevolution" view. In this view, most evolutionary changes occurred within given species via natural selection. Natural selection was thought by many to be particularly applicable to man and the apes. The idea was that superior (e.g., smarter) apes survived and passed their genes down to their offspring. As a result, apes would become progressively smarter and man was the ultimate outcome. Undoubtedly, this sort of thing has happened many times during the course of life on earth. If one carries this argument to its logical conclusion, there is an unstoppable evolution of life towards more and more "superior" species as the millennia roll by.
In the punctuated equilibrium or "macroevolution" scenario, we''ve seen that a chance occurrence or mutation resulted in the adaptation of our fruiteater to having a taste for grass. Is the grasseater superior to the fruiteater? Obviously, it depends on the environment. Suppose that jungle dries up and converts to grassland? Chances are good that the fruiteaters would go extinct, losing out to the established grasseaters. In other words, on this "macro" scale, the whole species is in competition for survival, not just the individuals within a species. As the Newsweek article puts it, if Gould is right, we individual members of Homo sapiens are all in it together and that''s the revolutionary doctrine that Gould left us.
Gould wasn''t just a highbrow Harvard professor. He shared a childhood passion with Rudy Giuliani - a love of the New York Yankees. Both maintained their interest in sports and Gould even wrote an article trying to explain the decline in the number of .400 hitters in baseball since Ted Williams. Incidentally, the July Reader''s Digest featured an interview with Rudy Giuliani, whose actions on September 11 certainly "punctuated" our view of that tragedy. After visiting Ground Zero recently, I was taken by a section of vignettes titled "Our America" in the same issue. The articles were by authors such as Peggy Noonan, Senator Arlen Specter, Sandra Day O''Connor, Tom Brokaw and others.
Apropos of my Ground Zero visit, I found one story especially touching. The story''s author stated that, after September 11, his wife and stepdaughter formed a group that collected and delivered needed items to the rescue workers at Ground Zero. Among the items were such things as hard hats, respirators, batteries, etc. One evening, as they left a restaurant to make a delivery, the cook asked that they take with them a bag which contained 12 freshly baked apple brown bettys, the restaurant''s "best dessert".
The author recalled thinking at the time that this was a lovely gesture, but meaningless in the overall context of the situation - 12 brown bettys for thousands of workers. But, after distributing the items to the workers, the last piece of brown betty went to an older fireman, sitting alone and totally exhausted. Eating the brown betty brought a smile to his face and he said "Thank you. This is the most lovely thing I''ve seen in four days - and it''s still warm!" The author said that those 12 "trivial" brown bettys had "turned into little drops of gold " Could this have been a case of punctuated equilibrium? The author of the article was Stephen Jay Gould. May he rest in peace.
Allen F. Bortrum
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