03/26/2008
Peering into the Past and the Future
Last week I discussed my roots extending back some 50 thousand years to my first male ancestor in Africa, as revealed in an analysis of my DNA as part of National Geographic’s Genographic project. That seems like a long period of time but it’s insignificant compared to the time frames considered in two articles I read recently. One article asks the question, what happened before the Big Bang, some 13.7 billion years ago? (I saw recently that the age of the universe has been pinned down more precisely recently to within an uncertainty of only plus or minus some 120 million years.) One obvious answer to that question is – nothing! However, there are other alternatives, one of which can actually be tested, at least according to some theorists.
We’ve talked before about the other end of the scale, namely what is our fate in the far distant future, not just billions, but trillions of years hence? The other article looks at the question from the standpoint of an astronomer of the far distant future and suggests that we live in a golden age for astronomers. Will astronomers in the future have no idea of the nature and origin of our universe? This is the question posed by cosmologists Lawrence Kraus and Robert Scherrer in their article titled “The End of Cosmology?” in the March 2008 Scientific American. They conclude that we may be living in the only epoch in the history of our universe when we can truly understand the actual nature of our universe.
It has only been within the past hundred years or so that we became aware of the billions of stars and galaxies outside our own Milky Way. It wasn’t until the 1920s that we learned that the universe is expanding, implying that there might have been a Big Bang at the beginning of the universe. It was less than 50 years ago that Bell Labs scientists Penzias and Wilson discovered the cosmic microwave background that helped nail down the Big Bang. Chemically, the Big Bang after only three minutes had produced hydrogen and helium, the prime constituents of the universe even today. And, within the last decade, astronomers discovered that the rate of expansion of the universe is actually speeding up, thanks to some mysterious form of “dark energy”. Now we know that most of the universe is composed of dark energy and dark matter with only a small percentage of the stuff we’re made of and understand.
With all this knowledge and fantastic telescopes and other sensors and brilliant scientists, we know the origin of the universe in the Big Bang; we know its age and its composition. We know what powers the nuclear engines in stars and we’re even finding planets around other stars in our galaxy. It’s a great time to be an astronomer!
But Kraus and Scherrer are looking into the distant future, especially into the future when there may be astronomers, if not on Earth, on other planets. With the rapidly expanding universe, except for galaxy clusters, the galaxies in the universe are growing farther and farther apart. In our case, as I’ve noted on occasion before, we in the Milky Way galaxy are going to collide with Andromeda a few billion years hence. Five billion years from now, Andromeda will nearly fill the sky but nobody on earth will see it. By that time the Sun will have become or will have been a red giant and Earth will probably be no more.
After we meet Andromeda, the merger will create another galaxy, probably ball-like in shape and a hundred billion years from now our galaxy will be floating alone in the sky. With the expanding universe, all the other galaxies will have faded from view. There will still be stars and, possibly, planets like our own with living creatures, possibly even astronomers. This is where the end of cosmology comes in.
As far as these distant astronomers are concerned, all they see is their own galaxy with just a bunch of stars. The cosmic background will have faded to undetectability and, unlike today, the amounts of helium and hydrogen will be vastly different from what they are today. These astronomers will have no idea of the true nature of the universe – unless somehow records of earlier times such as our own survive and get passed to these new and different societies, whatever they are. It’s not a likely prospect. A hundred trillion years from now, all the stars will have burned out and/or been swallowed up into black holes and the universe goes black. Eventually the galaxy itself collapses into a humongous black hole. The End.
In “The Day Before Genesis” in the April 2008 issue of Discover magazine, Adam Frank discusses three theories dealing with the question at the other end of the timescale, what caused the Big Bang? Was there time before the Big Bang? A fellow by the name of Julian Barbour has an approach that seems really far out. He suggests essentially that it’s silly to even ask such questions because time doesn’t exist! Einstein certainly wouldn’t be too happy with this approach, having made spacetime a concept with powerful consequences. But Barbour says that each moment is its own thing that he defines as a “Now”. Put a bunch of Nows together and you get the illusion of time.
I must admit I have a hard time not accepting time as something real. Even if there are only a bunch of Nows, inventing something called time is a great ways to relate one Now to another and time is certainly a useful concept in predicting in an infinite number of cases what the next Now will look like!
A second approach to dealing with what happens before the Big Bang also deals with time. Sean Carroll, a theoretical physicist at California Institute of Technology, and a graduate student, Jennifer Chen, also worry about time. They don’t worry about the beginning of time, but rather about the arrow of time. Why does time always go forward? Shouldn’t it also be allowed to go backward or in any direction? Carroll comes up with the concept of multiverses, not just one universe. With this concept, he says there can be an infinite amount of space with many “pocket” universes, some expanding, others condensing into black holes and evaporating. I don’t pretend to understand it but in this world, there are an infinite number of universes in infinite space, much like a foam. As many universes are moving forward in time as are moving backward.
Finally, the possibility that I find most appealing, if only because it apparently is a theory that can be tested. This approach involves string theory, which I make no pretense of understanding. While the Big Bang itself is very well pinned down and confirmed, the standard model of the Big Bang involves an inflationary expansion of space and time, implying that time didn’t exist before the Big Bang. On the other hand, string theory itself has yet to be shown to be at all relevant to the world of relativity and quantum mechanics. The super large particle smasher, the Large Hadron Collider in Europe, hopefully comes on board this year and may provide some answers about string theory.
In the latest elaboration of the theory, branes are the key ingredients. A brane is short for a membrane, but not your run of the mill membrane. In this theory our universe is a 3- dimensional brane moving in a four-dimensional background called “the bulk”. This “bulk” is full of branes, which very loosely might be considered analogous to sheets of paper floating around that can collide. When a brane collides with another brane, huge amounts of energy are involved and the string theorists calculate that these energies give rise to just the sort of explosion as the Big Bang and the results are the same, matter is formed and stars and galaxies result. As the resulting universe expands and grows and space is nearly empty, the theory predicts that the branes would attract each other and collide again, creating a new universe.
If true, there are cycles and there were and will be lots of Big Bangs. There was a “before” before our Big Bang! This cyclic universe theory, if true, apparently predicts that the gravity waves left over from the Big Bang will have a different shape if there’s a cyclic universe than if there was just one Bang. The problem is that we have not yet detected the gravity waves, let alone their form. Chances are it might be decades before we finally succeed in detecting and measuring these waves.
Personally, I like the idea of cyclic universes. With an infinite number of cycles in an infinite amount of space, there might be another universe where we all will live again. I gather that the cycles last on the order of a trillion or so years. This seems like a heck of a long time frame but think of it this way. In my lifetime, our national budget and/or debt has gone from millions of dollars to billions of dollars and now to trillions of dollars. Yet we still remember the saying, “A penny saved is a penny earned.” What does this have to do with cosmology? Darned if I know! Down to earth next week.
Allen F. Bortrum
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