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10/29/2009

View from the Middle East

I found the following recent editorial (10/1/09) from the moderate Daily Star of Lebanon enlightening. It’s a view from the other side. 

“Today, over 1.3 billion Chinese are celebrating the 60th anniversary of their country’s birth. But as China continues to gain prominence on the international stage many are wondering what will be the impact of the country’s rising influence. Over the last six decades China has progressed from a vast, backwater country into a modern nation that many say is an ascendant superpower. Already, it has the world’s third largest Gross Domestic Product, and it is expected that the country will surpass both Japan and the United States by the year 2030 to become the world’s largest economy. In tandem with this rapid economic transformation, China has undergone major changes in terms of its military preparedness and power-projection capability. 

“China’s rise as an economic giant, combined with its military modernization raises the question of how the country’s power will be used in the future, particularly here in the Middle East. 

“A hint of what may be in store for this region came this week in the form of an essay penned by China’s former special envoy to the Middle East, Sun Bigan. Writing in the Asia and Africa Review, Sun argued that there is a risk of deepening rifts between China and the United States over influence and oil in the region, saying: ‘Bilateral quarrels and clashes are unavoidable. We cannot lower vigilance against hostility in the Middle East over energy interests and security.’ 

“Sun’s remarks are disheartening for people of this region, whose territories have long been viewed by outside powers as an arena for power struggles. For many foreign states, the Middle East, despite all of its rich society, history and culture, is little more than an oversized oil well or a contested piece of religious real estate. 

“However, we can be thankful that at least Sun has been more honest and forthcoming than officials from other countries. George W. Bush, for example, launched a war that killed hundreds of thousands of Iraqis, but has never acknowledged that the mission was really about oil and other strategic issues, not the lofty ideals of ‘freedom’ and ‘democracy’ that he cited ahead of the invasion. Likewise, Bush’s predecessors lent their full support to Saddam Hussein when that alliance suited their purposes, even though they knew that the former dictator was responsible for the murder of scores of his own people. 

“Just as the U.S. has recklessly pursued its interests without regard for the people of this region, China has prioritized its own needs in places like Sudan and Iran, despite the ramifications of its engagement. 

“Things can only get worse for the people of this region if Sun’s predictions are accurate and China and the U.S. go head-to-head in an open struggle for supremacy in the Middle East.” 

--- 

Some quotes from Sun Bigan and his September “Asia-Africa Review” essay. 

“The U.S. has always sought to control the faucet of global oil supplies. There is cooperation between China and the U.S., but there is also struggle, and the U.S. has always seen us as a potential foe.” 

“Bilateral quarrels and clashes are unavoidable. We cannot lower vigilance against hostility in the Middle East over energy interests and security.” 

“Both now and in the future, the Middle East should be our first choice in importing oil and developing oil cooperation.” China should focus on strengthening trade with Saudi Arabia, Iran and Oman, he added. 

Washington would strive to ensure Iraqi oil remained under U.S. control, he said, but “Iran has bountiful energy resources and its oil gas reserves are the second biggest in the world, and all are basically under its own control.” 

In the first eight months of this year, Iran was China’s third biggest foreign source of crude oil, with shipments of 17.2 million tons, a rise of 14.7 percent compared to the same period last year. Angola and Saudi-Arabia were the first- and second-ranked suppliers. 

Sources: The Daily Star, Reuters, Haaretz.com
 
Hot Spots will return Nov. 12.
 
Brian Trumbore


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-10/29/2009-      
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Hot Spots

10/29/2009

View from the Middle East

I found the following recent editorial (10/1/09) from the moderate Daily Star of Lebanon enlightening. It’s a view from the other side. 

“Today, over 1.3 billion Chinese are celebrating the 60th anniversary of their country’s birth. But as China continues to gain prominence on the international stage many are wondering what will be the impact of the country’s rising influence. Over the last six decades China has progressed from a vast, backwater country into a modern nation that many say is an ascendant superpower. Already, it has the world’s third largest Gross Domestic Product, and it is expected that the country will surpass both Japan and the United States by the year 2030 to become the world’s largest economy. In tandem with this rapid economic transformation, China has undergone major changes in terms of its military preparedness and power-projection capability. 

“China’s rise as an economic giant, combined with its military modernization raises the question of how the country’s power will be used in the future, particularly here in the Middle East. 

“A hint of what may be in store for this region came this week in the form of an essay penned by China’s former special envoy to the Middle East, Sun Bigan. Writing in the Asia and Africa Review, Sun argued that there is a risk of deepening rifts between China and the United States over influence and oil in the region, saying: ‘Bilateral quarrels and clashes are unavoidable. We cannot lower vigilance against hostility in the Middle East over energy interests and security.’ 

“Sun’s remarks are disheartening for people of this region, whose territories have long been viewed by outside powers as an arena for power struggles. For many foreign states, the Middle East, despite all of its rich society, history and culture, is little more than an oversized oil well or a contested piece of religious real estate. 

“However, we can be thankful that at least Sun has been more honest and forthcoming than officials from other countries. George W. Bush, for example, launched a war that killed hundreds of thousands of Iraqis, but has never acknowledged that the mission was really about oil and other strategic issues, not the lofty ideals of ‘freedom’ and ‘democracy’ that he cited ahead of the invasion. Likewise, Bush’s predecessors lent their full support to Saddam Hussein when that alliance suited their purposes, even though they knew that the former dictator was responsible for the murder of scores of his own people. 

“Just as the U.S. has recklessly pursued its interests without regard for the people of this region, China has prioritized its own needs in places like Sudan and Iran, despite the ramifications of its engagement. 

“Things can only get worse for the people of this region if Sun’s predictions are accurate and China and the U.S. go head-to-head in an open struggle for supremacy in the Middle East.” 

--- 

Some quotes from Sun Bigan and his September “Asia-Africa Review” essay. 

“The U.S. has always sought to control the faucet of global oil supplies. There is cooperation between China and the U.S., but there is also struggle, and the U.S. has always seen us as a potential foe.” 

“Bilateral quarrels and clashes are unavoidable. We cannot lower vigilance against hostility in the Middle East over energy interests and security.” 

“Both now and in the future, the Middle East should be our first choice in importing oil and developing oil cooperation.” China should focus on strengthening trade with Saudi Arabia, Iran and Oman, he added. 

Washington would strive to ensure Iraqi oil remained under U.S. control, he said, but “Iran has bountiful energy resources and its oil gas reserves are the second biggest in the world, and all are basically under its own control.” 

In the first eight months of this year, Iran was China’s third biggest foreign source of crude oil, with shipments of 17.2 million tons, a rise of 14.7 percent compared to the same period last year. Angola and Saudi-Arabia were the first- and second-ranked suppliers. 

Sources: The Daily Star, Reuters, Haaretz.com
 
Hot Spots will return Nov. 12.
 
Brian Trumbore