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05/12/2011

Attitudes in Egypt

Recently, the Pew Global Attitudes Project surveyed the sentiments of Egyptians, post-revolution, and found a nation deeply divided on issues such as the influence of Islamic fundamentalists and the United States. Parliamentary elections are slated for September, with a presidential vote in November or December. Following are a few data points.

A Much Better Outlook

Way things are going in the country

Satisfied 28% [2010]…65% [2011]
Dissatisfied 69% [2010]…34% [2011]

Opinion about the future [2011]

Optimistic 57%
Pessimistic 16%

Opinions of Political Change

Mubarak resigning was a…

Good thing 77%
Bad thing 13%

What is more important?

Democratic government, even if risk of political instability 54%
Stable government, even if risk of not fully democratic 32%

Agents of Change Well-Rated

Favorable rating [very or somewhat]

April 6 Movement [largely secular] 70%
Muslim Brotherhood 75%

Mohamed Tantawi [head of military council] 90%
Amr Moussa [leading presidential candidate] 89%

Low Opinion of U.S. and Obama

Opinion of the U.S.

Favorable 17% [2010]…20% [2011]
Unfavorable 82% [2010]…79% [2011]

Confidence in Obama

A lot/Some 33% [2010]…35% [2011]
Not too much/None 59% [2010]…64% [2011]

Impact of U.S. response to political situation in Egypt

Positive 22%
Negative 39%
Neither 35%

High Ratings for the Military, but Not the Police

Military [Very/Somewhat good] 88%
Religious leaders 81%
Police 39%

Support for Fundamentalism

Agree with Islamic fundamentalists 31%
Disagree with…………………….. 30%

Priorities for Egypt’s Future

[% Very important]

Improved economic conditions 82%
Fair judicial system 79%
Freedom of speech 63%
Law and order 63%
Honest elections 55%
Religious parties can be part of govt. 50%
Same rights for women as men 39%
Freedom of religion for minorities 36% [important reading re: renewed clashes between Muslims and Coptic Christians]

How Close Should Egypt Be to the U.S.?

As close/Closer 55%
Less close 43%

Israel Peace Treaty

Should Egypt maintain or annul its peace treaty with Israel?

Annul 54%
Maintain 36%*

*Among those who disagree with fundamentalist, the percentage wishing to maintain the treaty with Israel is 48%...annul 51%.

Confidence in Osama bin Laden

In the months leading up to his death, a survey of Muslim publics found continued falling support for the al Qaeda leader.

Palestinian territories 72% [2003]…34% [2011]
Indonesia 59% [2003]…26% [2011]
Egypt 27% [2006]…22% [2011]
Lebanon 19% [2003]…1% [2011]

[Pakistan is part of an ongoing Pew field study with results to be published later]

The above results were gleaned from March 21 – April 12, 2011

Source: Pew Research Center, pewglobal.org

Hot Spots will return in two weeks.

Brian Trumbore


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-05/12/2011-      
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Hot Spots

05/12/2011

Attitudes in Egypt

Recently, the Pew Global Attitudes Project surveyed the sentiments of Egyptians, post-revolution, and found a nation deeply divided on issues such as the influence of Islamic fundamentalists and the United States. Parliamentary elections are slated for September, with a presidential vote in November or December. Following are a few data points.

A Much Better Outlook

Way things are going in the country

Satisfied 28% [2010]…65% [2011]
Dissatisfied 69% [2010]…34% [2011]

Opinion about the future [2011]

Optimistic 57%
Pessimistic 16%

Opinions of Political Change

Mubarak resigning was a…

Good thing 77%
Bad thing 13%

What is more important?

Democratic government, even if risk of political instability 54%
Stable government, even if risk of not fully democratic 32%

Agents of Change Well-Rated

Favorable rating [very or somewhat]

April 6 Movement [largely secular] 70%
Muslim Brotherhood 75%

Mohamed Tantawi [head of military council] 90%
Amr Moussa [leading presidential candidate] 89%

Low Opinion of U.S. and Obama

Opinion of the U.S.

Favorable 17% [2010]…20% [2011]
Unfavorable 82% [2010]…79% [2011]

Confidence in Obama

A lot/Some 33% [2010]…35% [2011]
Not too much/None 59% [2010]…64% [2011]

Impact of U.S. response to political situation in Egypt

Positive 22%
Negative 39%
Neither 35%

High Ratings for the Military, but Not the Police

Military [Very/Somewhat good] 88%
Religious leaders 81%
Police 39%

Support for Fundamentalism

Agree with Islamic fundamentalists 31%
Disagree with…………………….. 30%

Priorities for Egypt’s Future

[% Very important]

Improved economic conditions 82%
Fair judicial system 79%
Freedom of speech 63%
Law and order 63%
Honest elections 55%
Religious parties can be part of govt. 50%
Same rights for women as men 39%
Freedom of religion for minorities 36% [important reading re: renewed clashes between Muslims and Coptic Christians]

How Close Should Egypt Be to the U.S.?

As close/Closer 55%
Less close 43%

Israel Peace Treaty

Should Egypt maintain or annul its peace treaty with Israel?

Annul 54%
Maintain 36%*

*Among those who disagree with fundamentalist, the percentage wishing to maintain the treaty with Israel is 48%...annul 51%.

Confidence in Osama bin Laden

In the months leading up to his death, a survey of Muslim publics found continued falling support for the al Qaeda leader.

Palestinian territories 72% [2003]…34% [2011]
Indonesia 59% [2003]…26% [2011]
Egypt 27% [2006]…22% [2011]
Lebanon 19% [2003]…1% [2011]

[Pakistan is part of an ongoing Pew field study with results to be published later]

The above results were gleaned from March 21 – April 12, 2011

Source: Pew Research Center, pewglobal.org

Hot Spots will return in two weeks.

Brian Trumbore