Mistakes – High Tech, Low Tech

Mistakes – High Tech, Low Tech

I just looked up the word “chad” in two dictionaries and all I

came up with is Chad, a country in Africa. Indeed, my

spellchecker tells me that I should have capitalized the word.

Yet, the identity of our next president is depending upon the

presence or absence, or on the degree of attachment or

“pregnancy” of chads on pieces of paper. I was amused by the

response of an Irish, or perhaps Scottish tourist in New York

who was interviewed on one of our TV news channels. He said

they don”t have this problem, they just mark their ballots with an

X. What a novel concept! In our precinct we neither punched,

marked an X, nor pulled a lever. We simply touched a screen in

the appropriate places and a green X lit up at that spot. When we

finished touching our choices, we pressed a button and a few

musical notes typical of today”s computer games informed us that

our vote was registered. Of course, living here in New Jersey

only three miles from the birthplace of the transistor, we expect

nothing less than the latest technology.

The failure of Florida to go to a high tech form of voting has

proved to be a mistake. Such technological mistakes may be

crystal clear in hindsight. Sometimes, however, in contrast to the

Florida case, a failure to implement or achieve a high tech goal

or decision can prove to be a good thing, as Martha Stewart

would say. In the past, I”ve mentioned my own peripheral

involvement in an effort targeted at the development of a nuclear

powered airplane. Failure to achieve that objective was certainly

a good thing. Another example of a technological mistake was

the decision by the United States to develop a supersonic

transport, or SST. All of us taxpayers should be grateful that we

failed to do so and were beaten by the British-French Concorde.

To understand these shenanigans, let”s talk a bit about

supersonics, the branch of aerodynamics dealing with the

behavior of objects when their velocity exceeds the speed of

sound. The speed of sound depends on what kind of stuff the

sound waves are passing through. Obviously, here we”re

concerned with airplanes in the atmosphere. Even in air the

speed of sound depends on such things as the temperature, the

humidity and the pressure, which goes down as you go higher in

altitude. Because of this variation, you”ll hear or read about the

so-called Mach number, named after Ernst Mach, an Austrian

physicist and philosopher. The Mach number is simply the speed

of your aircraft or missile in its surrounding atmosphere divided

by the speed of sound in that same atmosphere. At Mach one,

M-1, you”re at the speed of sound. At M-2, you”re going twice

the speed of sound and at M-0.85 it”s 85 percent of the speed of

sound. We”ll come back to M-0.85 shortly.

The performance of a rocket, an airplane or even your car

depends on the pattern of the air flowing around the moving

body. For projectiles and airplanes this airflow has been studied

by ultrahigh speed photography and in wind tunnels. You”ve

probably seen pictures of speeding bullets showed the patterns of

airflow around them. Wind tunnels range in size from huge ones

that can accommodate full size airplanes with wingspans of 70

feet to much smaller tunnels used to study airplane models or jet

engines. While huge fans, propellers or air compressors can

generate wind speeds of hundreds of miles per hour, some wind

tunnels manage wind velocities of up to many thousands of miles

per hour. In some of these wind tunnels, an explosive charge is

used to explode the model aircraft into the tunnel while at the

opposite end another explosion is used to propel the gas (air)

towards the model. This gives effective super high speeds,

which may only last for a second, so you have to be awfully fast

in getting your photos and other measurements!

Such studies on projectiles revealed that up to M-0.85, 85

percent of the speed of sound, the airflow pattern is plain old

turbulence. The study of turbulence in liquids and gases has

occupied many scientists and engineers for centuries. However,

above M-0.85, as you approach the speed of sound, shock waves

begin to appear. These shock waves form at breaks in the

smooth shape of the projectile or aircraft; hence the quest for a

streamlined shape. However, at M-1, the speed of sound, shock

waves form at the nose and tail and that”s when you hear and feel

that unsettling sonic boom if you”re on the ground.

How does this affect the shape of your aircraft? If you want to

fly at typical speeds less than the speed of sound, as in your

jumbo jet, the ideal shape is like a teardrop. However, when you

get in the shock wave range the large front surface of your jumbo

has to compress a lot of air to generate the shock waves. The

larger the surface the more energy you lose and the bigger the

shock wave. Now you know the reason for the needle-nose

shape of the Concorde – you want to minimize the surface up

front. But there”s another point of concern. The shape of the

shock wave depends on the speed. It propagates in the shape of a

cone and the faster you go the sharper the cone. This is why you

see the really fast planes with their wings swept back so sharply.

It”s to avoid the shock waves from the nose of the plane.

Now back to the story about the American mistake that has saved

us taxpayers huge sums of money. Coincidentally, the impetus

for this column is an article in November”s American Heritage by

John Steele Gordon, whose article in another issue of that

magazine provided material for last week”s column on Edison

and the electric chair. I suspect Gordon”s article may have been

prompted by this year”s crash of the French Concorde near Paris.

The idea for a supersonic transport was in full bloom in the years

after the Boeing 707 began flying across the Atlantic in about 7

hours. Many people assumed that, since there were already

fighter planes flying at supersonic speeds, the next logical step

was to build a passenger-carrying SST. In the 1960s, the British

had been researching this possibility and wanted the U.S. to join

in and share the expense. But America didn”t want to play

second banana and decided to cede the first shot to the British.

The plan was to then leapfrog over them with a more impressive

aircraft. Meanwhile, Boeing began work on the 747. Not to be

denied, Britain signed an agreement in 1962 with France to

jointly build an SST, the Concord, later to become the Concorde.

In 1963, President Kennedy committed the U.S. to building an

SST. Earlier, he had committed to a moon landing and the

Apollo program. It is ironic that the latter, much more ambitious

project was the one that succeeded. At any rate, by 1966 and the

funding of some $400 million, the government had chosen

Boeing and Lockheed to compete by coming up with individual

SST designs. Remember that the designs for good performance

at subsonic and supersonic speeds are fundamentally different.

The Boeing approach was a design that was supposed to allow

good performance at both subsonic and supersonic speeds. This

was to be accomplished by a swing-wing design that would

allow the plane to change the shape of the wing in flight and thus

alleviate the sonic boom problem as well as allow the use of

more airports. Lockheed, on the other hand, stuck to a more

conservative approach with a design much like the Concorde”s

fixed-wing, which is good for supersonic but lousy for subsonic

flight. Lockheed”s plane would have been much larger than the

Concorde. The U.S. government, in the form of the Federal

Aviation Administration supported by “competent Government

evaluation”, chose Boeing. This decision, made on New Year”s

Eve of 1966, was thankfully a big mistake!

After nearly two years, it was clear that the swing-wing was not

feasible for any significant passenger load and Boeing switched

to the delta-wing design of the Concorde. By this time it

appeared that the U.S. was about 6 years behind the British-

French combo and various airlines had options on 74 Concordes.

Another obstacle to a U.S. SST was evolving, namely, the

environmental movement, which was beginning to decry the

sonic boom problem and the SST”s huge fuel consumption. In

1970, the 747 was flying some 400 or more passengers over the

Atlantic with a fuel consumption that was less than would be

required by the forthcoming Concorde, with only a hundred

passengers. Furthermore, the 747 was making a profit!

In March of 1971, both the House and Senate voted to kill the

SST program by margins of only 11 and 5 votes, respectively.

There were predictions by critics, including Barry Goldwater,

that this action would doom the U.S. lead as an airframe

manufacturer. But, as the environmentalists made their point

regarding the sonic boom it became clear that the SST would

only be flying over the oceans. Consequently, all but the British

and French dropped out of the SST game. It was the jumbo jets

and the “interim” 747 that took the brass ring. And Britain and

France, who built only 16 Concordes, were left to swallow the

billions of pounds and francs of development costs.

History repeats. Not too many years ago, there was another SST

initiative and the press was full of accounts about the possibility

of flying from New York to Tokyo in a few hours. The U.S.

government funded a program called the High Speed Civil

Transport program. I searched “High Speed Civil Transport” on

the Web and came up with a slew of sites, mostly NASA sites,

dealing with various aspects of the program. According to

Gordon”s article, Boeing has now dropped the project. The

reason? The article quotes a Boeing official, “You and I couldn”t

afford to fly in the darn things.” Another good thing.

Heck, I can”t afford to fly the Concorde, let alone a HSCT!

Allen F. Bortrum