Chechnya

Chechnya

Last week we explored the many changes Boris Yeltsin has made in

selecting prime minister”s that conform to his wishes, i.e., how

can he keep himself and his family in power (with all of the goodies

that flow therefrom), even after he”s no longer effectively working

in the Kremlin. This week it”s on to Chechnya and the 1994-1996 war

which led, directly, to the current crisis in Dagestan.

Chechnya and Dagestan are two of the 89 “regions” that make up

the Russian Federation. They are in the overall territory labeled

the “North Caucasus,” an area that lies between the oil-rich

Caspian Sea and the former Soviet republics of Azerbaijan and

Georgia. This whole land mass, including the republics to the

east like Kazakhstan and Turkmenistan, has also been called

“Chaostan” for its inherent instability. Following is a brief

history of Russia”s involvement in the North Caucasus.

1722 – Peter the Great annexes Caspian Sea region of Dagestan at

the start of a 150-year military campaign to absorb the largely

Moslem North Caucasus region into the Russian Empire. Russia

starts settling armed Cossack volunteers there.

Mid-19th century – The legendary Shamil uses Islam to weld

mountain tribes of Dagestan and Chechnya into a formidable

fighting force. His ambition is to create a theocratic, Islamic

state, but he is eventually defeated by Russia”s superior numbers

and technology. He lives out his days as the honored guest of his

former foes in the imperial capital of St. Petersburg.

1917 – Russian revolution brings Communists to power and

ensuing civil war cements their hold over vast, multi-ethnic nation

later known as the Soviet Union. Islam and a traditional clan

system remain strong among peoples of the North Caucasus

despite persecution from the atheistic regime in Moscow.

1943 – With Nazi German troops camped near regional capital of

Grozny, Chechen separatists rebel against Soviet rule.

1944 – Soviet dictator Josef Stalin ( a Georgian) takes his revenge

by deporting the entire Chechen people and their ethnic cousins

and neighbors, the Ingushi, to Central Asia. Tens of thousands

die.

1957 – Soviet leader Nikita Khrushchev allows the Chechens back

to the Caucasus, setting up the Checheno-Ingush republic.

Sept. 5, 1991 – The government of Checheno-Ingushetia, which

supported a hard-line coup against Mikhail Gorbachev, resigns

under pressure from the pro-independence Congress of the

Chechen People, led by former air force general Dzhokhar

Dudayev.

Oct. 1991 – Dudayev launches campaign to topple the Moscow-

backed temporary administration of the region. He wins the

backing of 80% of the electorate (in a disputed election) and

unilaterally declares his country independent. Russia rejects any

talk of independence but takes no action against Dudayev and

allows him to run Chechnya. Big mistake.

Nov. 1991 – Russian President Boris Yeltsin belatedly sends

troops to Grozny. Dudayev”s forces blockade them at the airport

and Yeltsin pulls them out after just three days.

Aug. 1994 – The opposition Provisional Council starts fighting to

topple Dudayev and says it is seizing power. Russia backs the

council.

Nov. 25, 1994 – Moscow-backed rebels attack capital Grozny

with tanks and artillery. Rebels pull back the next day after street

fighting and Dudayev claims victory.

Nov. 29, 1994 – Yeltsin calls on both sides in Chechnya to

disarm. Russian planes bomb Grozny.

Nov. 30, 1994 – More bombing of Grozny. Russia sends troops

and equipment to the borders in massive show of force.

Dec. 6, 1994 – Russian Defense Minister Pavel Grachev meets

Dudayev. Both agree not to use force to resolve the crisis. [Both

are liars].

Dec. 9, 1994 – Yeltsin orders his government to use “all available

measures” to disarm Chechen forces.

Dec. 10, 1994 – Russia seals off Chechen borders and airspace.

Dec. 11, 1994 – Three columns of Russian troops cross into

Chechnya.

At this point it is necessary to stop the time line and look,

specifically, at what was said by Yeltsin after Russia invaded

Chechnya. I”m already hearing some of the same things about

Dagestan (admittedly a different conflict, but time will tell).

The military action launched on Dec. 11th was Russia”s largest

since the ill-fated invasion of Afghanistan which began in

December of 1979. Regarding the first day of fighting in

Chechnya, Yeltsin said that the troops had moved in “to help find

a political solution and to defend the people” of Chechnya and to

protect “the integrity of Russia.” Regarding the issue of

territorial integrity, Yeltsin was in his rights. The world

recognized Chechnya (and Dagestan) as part of Russian territory.

Yeltsin also said that he remained hopeful that peace talks

planned for Monday could resolve the crisis without further

bloodshed, adding that he had ordered that no force be used

against civilians. Boris faced intense opposition to the use of

force in Moscow. Grigory Yavlinsky, head of a major reform

bloc said in the Russian parliament, “We”re against our children

being killed in Chechnya. We”re against democracy being

established using these methods.” Chechen leader Dudayev said

they would defend themselves. The situation rapidly deteriorated.

The Russian army met strong resistance from guerrilla fighters

and suffered heavy casualties. Russia decides to blast Grozny (a

city of 400,000) to bits.

Feb. 1995 – Separatists abandon capital Grozny.

June 1995 – Rebels led by Shamil Basayev (more on him next

week) seize hundreds of hostages (what is to become the modus

operandi of the terrorists…that”s what they really are) in the

Russian town Budennovsk. Over 100 people died in a horrifying

embarrassment for the Russian government. Basayev and many

of the rebels are “allowed” to escape. Peace talks open, Russia

orders a halt to military operations, but the conflict goes on.

Jan. 1996 – Rebels seize hostages in neighboring Dagestan, then

move to the village of Pervomaiskoye just outside Chechnya.

Most rebels escape, but many are killed.

Feb. 1996 – Yeltsin says the Chechnya campaign was “maybe one

of our mistakes” but rules out withdrawal of Russian forces.

April 1996 – Dudayev is killed in a rocket attack (an

assassination) and replaced by vice-president Zelimkhan

Yandarbiyev.

May 1996 – Yeltsin and Yandarbiyev agree on truce at talks in

Moscow. The truce holds until the presidential election held 6

weeks later. Yeltsin visits troops in Grozny.

Aug. 1996 – Rebels seize Grozny. Yeltsin gives national security

adviser Alexander Lebed powers to resolve the crisis. Lebed signs

a truce on August 31 providing for a Russian pullout and

deferring the issue of Chechen sovereignty for five years.

Sept. 1996 – Russia starts withdrawing its soldiers.

Oct. 1996 – Aslan Maskhadov, former rebel chief-of-staff, is

named prime minister of an interim government. His platform

includes independence and some elements of Islamic sharia law.

Oct. 18 Lebed is fired by Yeltsin who accuses Lebed of blatant

presidential politicking.

Dec. 1996 – Six foreign Red Cross workers are murdered in

Chechnya.

Jan. 1997 – Last Russian troops leave. Maskadov is officially

elected president with 65% of the vote.

The best estimate is that 40,000 died during the Chechen conflict.

Most of them were civilians.

Next week, Dagestan.

[Sources: Various wire service reports, Reuters for parts of the

time line]

Brian Trumbore