Breakthrough in Northern Ireland?

Breakthrough in Northern Ireland?

After all I”ve written on the situation in Northern Ireland over the

years, primarily in my “Week in Review” column, it only

seemed right to use this space this week to highlight the huge

potential breakthrough in the peace process there. Were it not

for our current war on terrorism, this may have been the lead

story the past few days, but, unfortunately, it is being buried by

the admittedly more depressing, and important, news in other

parts of the world, including our own. For once, though, we do

have something to be optimistic about. Here”s a quick review.

In 1998 what became known as the Good Friday power-sharing

agreement between the Protestants and Catholics in the British

province of Northern Ireland was reached, ending, it was hoped,

decades of sectarian violence which had claimed about 3,600

lives.

But over the past six months, in particular, the Good Friday

accord was hanging by a thread, and it was just last week that the

latest roadblock was put up, that being when the five

“Unionists,” or pro-British members of the provincial

government announced their resignations because the Irish

Republican Army (IRA) had refused to begin disarming,

something the IRA has steadfastly refused to do until various

demands were met, including reform of the British police force

and demilitarization in Northern Ireland.

It looked as though the British government was going to have to

force new elections or suspend the experiment in home rule, but

then Sinn Fein (the political wing of the IRA) leader Gerry

Adams startled everyone with an announcement on Monday that

he was urging the IRA to begin to disarm. The next day,

Tuesday, the IRA did so. Following are the statements of both

Gerry Adams and the IRA.

Gerry Adams [Excerpts]:

The Sinn Fein leadership has been seeking to create a context in

which all of the key players in this crisis can share in the effort to

end it, and share in the effort to build trust and confidence.

If all the pro-agreement parties genuinely have a vision of a

peaceful future built on justice, equality and respect for our

diversity, then we must look to each other to find ways of

realizing that vision.

Republicans and nationalists want to be convinced that unionism

is facing up to its responsibilities.

Most fair-minded people on this island want to believe that a

British government is prepared to usher in a new dispensation

based on equality.

But Sinn Fein is not nanve. Our strategy is determined by

objective realities. It is guided among other things by the fact

that the democratic rights and entitlements of nationalists and

republicans cannot be conditional. These rights are universal

rights. They affect all citizens.

In the Good Friday agreement, matters such as policing, the

political institutions, demilitarization, human rights, the justice

system and the equality agenda are stand-alone issues. These are

issues to be resolved in their own right.

We have put this to all those we have been in negotiation with.

It is clear to the Sinn Fein leadership that the issue of the IRA

has been used as an excuse to undermine the peace process as

well as the Good Friday agreement.

But at the same time, I do not underestimate the emotiveness and

confusions which arise at different phases in struggle, and in

particular the effects of media and propaganda spins. This is

particularly so on the weapons issue.

Many republicans are angry at the unrelenting focus on silent

IRA weapons. This is in marked contrast to the attitude to

loyalist weapons and bombs in daily use, and the remilitarization

by the British army of republican heartlands in the north.

The issue of arms must be resolved. But not just IRA weapons –

British weapons as well.

This is a necessary part of any conflict resolution process.

Martin McGuinness (Adams”s right-hand man) and I have also

held discussions with the IRA and we have put to the IRA

leadership the view that if it could make a groundbreaking move

on the arms issue that this could save the peace process from

collapse and transform the situation.

However, I do not underestimate the difficulties this involves for

the army. Genuine republicans will have concerns about such a

move. It is to them that I address this section of my remarks.

The nay-sayers, the armchair generals and begrudgers, and the

enemies of Irish republicanism and of the peace process, will

present a positive IRA move in disparaging terms. That is only

to be expected.

Others will say that the IRA has acted under pressure. But

everyone else knows that the IRA is not an organization that

bows to pressure or which moves on British or unionist terms.

IRA volunteers have a view of themselves and a vision of the

Ireland they want to be part of. This is what will shape their

attitude to this issue.

Republicans in Ireland and elsewhere will have to strategically

think this issue through.

We have all been part of something very powerful. Each of us

has struggled in difficult and hard times.

We are now in a good but challenging period for Irish

republicanism. We have made significant advances this year.

There is a continued need for all of us to stay connected and to

keep fulfilling our roles. Our focus is on building the peace.

Every one of us has a role in that daunting task. We have to

ensure that we have done our utmost to prevent the situation

from slipping back into conflict.

—–

[Separately, while Adams was giving his speech in Northern

Ireland, Martin McGuinness, reformed terrorist, was making

similar remarks in New York. Of course Irish support in the U.S.

has been vital to the success (if you can call it that) of the IRA.

Today, though, that support has been slipping and both Adams

and McGuinness would have to acknowledge that two events

have speeded up their thinking on the peace process and

disarmament. First, the arrest of three IRA members in

Colombia in August who were meeting leftist rebels, an act

which infuriated IRA supporters, particularly in the U.S.,

because it de-legitimized both Sinn Fein and the IRA, and,

second, September 11 and the terror attacks on the United States.

Regarding the latter, McGuinness said, “For me, the events of

Sept. 11 in New York and Washington and in Pennsylvania have

given added urgency and incentive to those of us in Northern

Ireland who want to bring our peace process to a conclusion.”]

On Tuesday, the IRA responded with the following statement:

The IRA is committed to our republican objectives and to the

establishment of a united Ireland based on justice, equality and

freedom.

In August 1994, against a background of lengthy and intensive

discussions involving the two governments and others, the

leadership of the IRA called a complete cessation of military

operations in order to create the dynamic for a peace process.

“Decommissioning” was no part of that. There was no

ambiguity about this. Unfortunately there are those within the

British establishment and the leadership of unionism who are

fundamentally opposed to change. At every opportunity they

have used the issue of arms as an excuse to undermine and

frustrate progress.

It is for this reason that decommissioning was introduced to the

process by the British government. It has been used since to

prevent the changes that a lasting peace requires.

In order to overcome this and to encourage the changes

necessary for a lasting peace, the leadership of Oglaigh na Ireann

(IRA) has taken a number of substantial initiatives.

These include our engagement with the IICD (Independent

International Commission on Decommissioning) and the

inspection of a number of arms dumps by the two international

inspectors, Syril Ramaphosa and Martti Ahtisaari.

No one should doubt the difficulties these initiatives cause for us,

our volunteers and our supporters.

The political process is now on the point of collapse. Such a

collapse would certainly, and eventually, put the overall peace

process in jeopardy.

There is a responsibility upon everyone seriously committed to a

just peace to do our best to avoid this.

Therefore, in order to save the peace process, we have

implemented the scheme agreed with the IICD in August.

Our motivation is clear. This unprecedented move is to save the

peace process and to persuade others of our genuine intentions.

—–

The IRA statement was immediately followed by a statement

from Canadian General John de Chastelain, the lead military

official of the disarmament body, who said he had “witnessed an

event – which we regard as significant – in which the IRA has

put a quantity of arms beyond use…The material in question

includes arms, ammunition, and explosives.” No word was

given on where or when the event had taken place. Moderate

Unionist leader David Trimble said he had been told the arms

were not just covered over by a “concrete lid” but had been

disabled in such a way that they “will never be used again.”

[Reuters]

It was thought that the IRA had about 1,700 guns, as well as

grenades and other explosives. One can assume that they still

maintain a substantial amount, but given that the vast

preponderance of violence in the last five years has been on the

Protestant / Unionist side, the IRA move, sanctioned by a truly

independent monitor (General de Chastelain) is a major step

forward.

So now what? The ball is in Trimble”s court to bring the

Unionist side on board, something that won”t be easy, especially

the supporters of the firebrand Reverend Ian Paisley, one of the

truly bad people on the planet.

And you have the issue of the arms stockpile held by the Ulster

Defense Association (UDA) which has been responsible for the

lion”s share of the violence the past few years and has already

said it would not match the IRA disarmament move by handing

in some of its own.

Plus, you also have the issue of the Real IRA, the splinter group

that could easily pick up the shield, so to speak, in defense of the

republican cause. This has always been the fear of Adams and

McGuinness, and, as your editor has noted on occasion, feelings

are so deep-seated that it is hard to get truly optimistic about a

viable peace that protects the rights of Catholics to live in a

Protestant dominated province of Britain.

For his part, British Prime Minister Tony Blair has taken huge

risks of his own over the years and he was almost effusive in his

praise of both Sinn Fein and the IRA on Tuesday, incredibly

striking given the history of the conflict. The IRA, after all, has

been responsible for a wave of terror not only in Northern Ireland

but in Britain itself, including the murder of Lord Mountbatten

and the attempted assassination of former Prime Minister

Margaret Thatcher. And Britain does still have about 13,500

troops in the province, though it is expected that over the coming

year this force may be reduced considerably if progress continues

to be made in the political process.

Both Sinn Fein and the IRA are now looking for payment in

kind, while the militant UDA and Real IRA, working from

opposite sides, could be plotting the destruction of this new era

of good will. In an increasingly dangerous world, however, it

would be nice to point to one “Hott Spott” and be able to attach

the label “former.”

Sources:

Reuters

The Associated Press

Michael Dobbs / Washington Post

Warren Hoge / New York Times

The Times of London

Brian Trumbore

**Next week we will return to stories concerning the war,

specifically Saudi Arabia and Wahhabism.