For the week, 1/22-1/26

For the week, 1/22-1/26

“We”ve never seen an economy fall off a cliff like this.”

–Economist Ed Yardeni, the week of 1/8.

“Blink and the recession is over…there are already (positive)

signs the economy is responding.”

–Economist Ed Yardeni, the week of 1/22.

So which is it? It”s not just Mr. Yardeni who is a tad confused.

We all should be. This is the most perplexing environment I can

remember, because it”s not just a battle over market valuations

and whether or not inflation is rising ( a la early 2000), or

whether an economic slowdown will drastically affect corporate

profits ( a la the 4th quarter of last year). And it”s not just

whether the world is sliding along with the U.S., or, whether

California”s energy crisis will drag the rest of America down with

it. It”s all of these thoughts…and then some. That”s why I wish

more folks would just say, “I don”t know;” obviously, not particularly

helpful, but at least it”s honest.

Importantly, however, Federal Reserve Chairman Alan Greenspan

weighed in this week on the topic with testimony to the Senate

Finance Committee.

Greenspan said that the U.S. economy is experiencing a “dramatic

slowing down…close to zero at this particular moment.”

Well, no equivocation and no Greenspeak there. That”s as black

and white as you”re going to get, especially from the chairman.

And then, to the cheers of countless millions, Greenspan added

that the budget surpluses are growing so fast that tax cuts are

doable, and, that they “would help smooth the transition to

longer-term fiscal balance.” For the G-Man, a full reversal with a

back somersault flip, executed to perfection.

But while the economy is in the doldrums, just how bad is it?

Manufacturing is obviously in the dumps, but there is anecdotal

evidence that the consumer is still spending. Yes, layoffs are

picking up, but many of those affected should still find work fairly

easily. And for every story that revenue growth is suffering

because corporate America is working off its inventory positions,

you also have the airlines saying that their advance bookings are

up.

So it”s almost as if it”s the consumer vs. the corporation. This is

perhaps a gross generalization, but many CEOs are telling you it”s

pretty ugly out there and many of you are going, no it”s not.

True, the consumer sentiment readings I”m obsessed with

continue to tumble, but I don”t believe they”re reflected in the

level of consumer spending since Christmas…yet.

Well, if one is to believe Chairman Greenspan, we will all know

just where we”re headed “in 3 months or so.” No argument here.

I suspect we”ll have a far clearer picture in just 30 days.

First, the Fed will be lowering interest rates again on Tuesday or

Wednesday. As negative as Greenspan sounded, and as tame as

the inflation numbers continue to be (like last week”s employment

cost index report), you would expect the Fed to lower the target

for federal funds another half percent (50 basis points). And then

we”ll all sit back to see what the equity markets do. It certainly

won”t be a good sign if the reaction is negative, as in “sell the

news.”

As for the week just past, boy, there sure were signs of euphoria

early on. As the Nasdaq rallied on Tuesday, one of the market

commentators said, “Maybe the (Nasdaq) has to rally back to fair

value.” The Nasdaq is undervalued? Heck, I”ve made it pretty

clear these past few weeks that I felt the worst was over, but off

to the races again? Forget it. But there certainly was lots of talk

of good times, along with some drooling, just like the old days.

This was best exemplified by the CNBC interview with the CEO

for OpenWave, a company that makes Internet software and one

which seems to have a niche in wireless applications. OpenWave

issued a stupendous earnings report for the fourth quarter,

earning 9 cents when a loss of 3 cents was expected. For its fiscal

year ending June ”02 (not a misprint), the estimate is for $0.66 a

share. Seeing as they do a good job of exceeding estimates, I”ll

call it $0.80. The stock closed Friday at $69 for a P/E of 86 on

”02 EPS.

Anyway, the CEO was touting this new location software where

“you”ll be walking by a Starbucks and you”ll be notified, hey,

c”mon in, cappuccino is 50% off!” Now Homer Simpson would

love something like this (and would quickly be re-filing for super

duper bankruptcy), but will everyone else? Or at least enough for

the company to be wildly successful, as I expect it will be

increasingly priced? I don”t know. And that”s why I think

OpenWave will be a great stock to watch over the coming 18

months. We are apt to learn a lot about the future for

telecommunications by the success or relative failure of this one

company.

[And since I will be mentioning OpenWave from time to time,

you have my assurance I will never take a position in it myself.

Also, to offer another viewpoint, an old friend of mine who

manages a leading technology fund believes in OpenWave, and

I”ll leave it at that. Finally, two items hit on Friday that make me

wonder just how successful the company can be. Ericsson”s

decision to drop out of the mobile-phone handset market, and,

Sawtek”s statement that mobile-phone sales growth has dropped.

Put it all together and it”s a good example of why this is such a

stimulating business.]

Well, the above was a long-winded way of saying that the old

bubble mentality is just dying to be let loose again.

The Nasdaq registered its 3rd straight weekly gain, albeit a small

one, as it finished up 11 points to 2781. The Dow Jones also

rose, 0.7%, to the 10659 level. The Nasdaq continued to largely

slough off bad news, particularly when it came to future forecasts.

Except, that is, for PMC Sierra, which said it would miss its

revenue projection for the quarter by, gulp, 30%! Eegads. What

are they doing there? Playing Parcheesi?

Street Bytes

–U.S. Treasury Yields…little changed on the short end, higher

on the long one.

1-yr. 4.80% 2-yr. 4.77% 10-yr. 5.27% 30-yr. 5.64%

–Abby Cohen issued All-Clear Alert #943. Actually, I don”t

write this with the cynicism I used to. Remember, I”m neither

bull nor bear. I”m kind of “eh.” Abby does say she would

overweight in technology and still forecasts a S&P 500 of 1650

and a Dow of 13000 by year end. Go Go….Go Abby Go, Go.

–Two of the leading theater chains, Loews and AMC, have

announced that they are shutting down 20-25% of their screens.

Geezuz, boys. Save some for “Lord of the Rings!”

–Worldcom, AOL, Drugstore.com, Sara Lee (“Everybody

doesn”t like something…but nobody doesn”t like Sara Lee), and,

of course, Lucent, headed up the major layoff list this week.

As for Lucent, while the news was expected it”s still a bit

disconcerting to see a figure of 16,000 pink slips, especially when

you own real estate just 3 blocks from their headquarters. The

company announced a huge loss for the quarter, as well as a

restructuring plan, and many investors started foaming at the

mouth…the worst had to be over. No it”s not, I mused. By

week”s end, others had similar musings and the stock closed

lower than it did the previous Friday.

–Speaking of telecom, France held an auction for its next

generation mobile phone licenses. 2 of the 4 bidders dropped out,

ostensibly because the asking price was outrageous. One that is

still in the running, France Telecom, already has $60 billion in

debt. Holy Cannes! Holy OpenWave.

–PIMCO”s Bill Gross, commenting on the dangers of investing in

corporate bonds: “Today”s winning technology is tomorrow”s

sinkhole.”

–The Wall Street Journal ran the following headline the other day,

“Commercial-Paper Chase Grows Difficult,” alluding to the fact

that while the junk bond market may have revived some, the costs

of borrowing short-term for even some investment grade corporations

are skyrocketing. My own well-placed banking source, “Mr. X,”

informed me a week ago that the bank syndication market had

ground to a halt. He added that Greenspan is very concerned

about this credit crunch and is whispering to the banks to lend.

–A positive; insider selling appears to have bottomed.

–Debt service payments for individuals (ex-home equity and car

loans) are 13.7% of disposable income, the highest level since

1987.

–Exxon Mobil earned a world record $5.1 billion in the 4th

quarter and an astounding $17.7 billion for all of 2000. Both of

these marks exceeded the all-time records for any company,

besting even that of Rome”s Aqueduct Waterworks in the year 32

B.C.

–Converse Inc., the maker of the cool basketball shoes, filed for

Chapter 11. I was forced to wear Keds as a kid because they

offered better arch support. It”s all part of who I am. Quite

tragic, really.

–Ca-li-for-nia here I go….right back to O-hi-o-o

“Americans prefer energy fantasy to energy reality.”

–Robert Samuelson

Particularly in California. Obviously, Governor Gray Davis, who

once harbored thoughts of a presidential candidacy can put them

to rest. And as Mr. X told me, “there is a huge game of

chicken being played” in the state. Who”s going to blink first?

For starters, the Bush administration made it pretty clear that

after another two-week reprieve, whereby neighboring states are

forced to cough up help, California is on its own. And since it

represents 13% of the U.S. economy, that”s a pretty scary

thought considering the incredibly poor leadership that has been

exhibited by its public officials.

Just a few facts. From 1988 to 1998, California”s electric-

generating capacity declined 5% (some plants were retired, none

were really added), while power consumption rose 15%. But while

California is finally building more power-generation facilities,

they haven”t begun to figure out how to transmit the new capacity

when it does come onstream.

Meanwhile, Governor Davis, who seems reluctant to access huge

budget surpluses which would ensure that the utilities get through

these rough times, also adamantly opposes raising consumer

rates, which is clearly part of the solution (along with allowing the

utilities to sign long-term contracts for their supply). And while

none of us like higher rates, or higher taxes, Californians currently

have no real incentive to save. Plus, the attitude of many is rather

startling. According to a Field Poll, 60% still believe the energy

companies are exaggerating the severity of the shortages.

Heck, no one is denying that the power generators (who supply

the nearly bankrupt utilities) are turning substantial profits, but

blaming them is symptomatic of this attitude that yes, Virginia,

err, Sacramento, there is a free lunch.

Viewing this whole situation from the other coast that voted for

Al Gore, it just seems as though this crisis is having a debilitating

effect. My “Week in Review” hat has to report that there haven”t

been any true disasters, yet. My “Big Picture” hat says, brother,

can you spare a kilowatt?

As I noted last week, assuming the state skirts disaster over the

coming month or two, just wait until summer. Neighboring states

like Washington and Oregon have their own problems and

California can”t continue to count on them, as they normally do in

the summer months, for a little spare hydropower.

Finally, as Mr. X constantly reminds me, the banks are worried,

big time. There”s a lot of shaky paper floating around out there

and the potential for a domino effect, while far less than 50%, is

also too great for comfort.

Mad Cow

According to a Washington Post / ABC News poll, only 1 in 5 are

worried about “mad cow” coming to America. That”s all about

to change. Some of you probably heard about the cattle that have

been quarantined in Texas until the FDA can figure out if mad

cow was transmitted through prohibited feed. And on Monday,

cattlemen from across the country are meeting with the FDA to

reassure themselves that the government is truly doing all it can to

avert a crisis.

It was in 1996 that the British disclosed that BSE (Bovine

spongiform encephalopathy) had actually jumped from cattle to

humans. Since then, about 90 deaths have been reported in

Britain, Ireland, France and elsewhere in Europe. How did it

start? From Barry James of The International Herald Tribune.

“Perhaps only one cow spontaneously developed the disease at

first. To become an epidemic it needed an amplifier, which in

Britain was the practice of feeding grazing animals the ground-up

remains (bone meal) of others of their species.”

Contained within this disgusting feed are prions, deformed

proteins which are indestructible at temperatures of up to 600

degrees! Which also means that if you eat some infected meat, it

could stay on your fork for years.

And therein lies the real danger of mad cow, both to your physical

as well as mental health. The disease (which in humans is called

Creutzfeldt Jakob) can lie dormant for 10, maybe 15 years. Is 90

deaths worth a panic? Of course not, especially when compared

to the tragedy unfolding in India. But does it become 9,000…or

90,000? No one has any idea. In Britain, one study revealed that

975,000 infected cattle may have entered the food chain. And

the concern in America is, of course, did any of these ground up

animals find their way into our feed supply?

Barry James: “The danger to humanity, scientists say, is that the

general level of potential infection will rise, making it easier for

the disease to emerge in future generations.”

And it”s not just cattle we have to worry about. A related

disease, scrapie, is killing sheep not just in Europe, but in the U.S.

as well. [The sheep feed on grass that could have been

contaminated by cattle remains.] And elk are dying of malformed

proteins in Canada, as well as Colorado and Wyoming. [It”s not

known whether these other diseases can make the jump that BSE

can.]

I could go on and on. Unfortunately, I may be doing so later this

year. For now, I leave you with these words from Jim Grant

(“Grant”s Interest Rate Observer”…and I”m a paid up subscriber,

Mr. Grant…Jim”s big on this, and rightfully so).

“Mad cow is about to turn the business of public health and

agriculture upside down.”

*On a personal note, I feel obligated to update you all from time

to time on my own investment strategy. Thankfully, I didn”t

dump my energy holdings, per last week”s review. But I did buy

a stock this past Tuesday that is a well-known agricultural

company which may participate to the upside if a real mad cow

scare develops. However, I would also be very happy with just a

15-20% return on it over the next 12 months. In other words,

this isn”t a potential home run. So now I”m about 45% energy

(thanks to some recent appreciation), 50% cash and junk bonds

(the latter is actually more of a stock play) and 5% mad cow. If

that 5% grows to 20% of my overall portfolio, that”s your sign to

flee the country.

International Affairs…another light week

Middle East: The Israeli election is just 10 days away, February 6.

Ariel Sharon said that he would not honor any prior agreement

reached between Barak and Arafat, though a peace treaty is

highly unlikely at this point. Sharon has sent his sons to meet

with Arafat”s lieutenants. Meanwhile, the Palestinians have been

blasting President Clinton, now that he”s gone.

China / Taiwan: China”s Vice Premier urged Taiwan to accept

direct talks, starting with trade. But he also urged the U.S. to

butt out. As I”ve mused in this space before, China is

aggressively wooing Taiwan”s opposition and business elite.

Meanwhile, China (as well as Russia) knows that Secretary of

Defense Donald Rumsfeld is adamant about a missile shield.

Look for the first real earnest debate on the topic to start shortly

in our Congress.

And China has a real problem, somewhat reminiscent of 1989, as

5 Falun Gong members set themselves on fire (at least one died)

in Tiananmen Square. The government gets apoplectic over

matters of this kind.

[I started a series on The Tiananmen Papers for my “Hott Spotts”

link which you may find mildly enlightening. Actually, just in time

for the Chinese New Year! Snake, anyone?]

Iraq: All the signs are there; Iraq is rebuilding their chemical and

biological weapons plants. It boggles the mind to think we

haven”t had any inspectors on the ground there since December

1998. And Iraq certainly isn”t hurting for cash as they continue to

smuggle oil through a Syrian pipeline, thus circumventing the

U.N.”s oil-for-food program.

Russia: Folks are finally beginning to realize that President Putin

is an emerging dictator (though he is going about it very

cautiously, one step at a time). So much for the free press in

Russia. For example, even a straightforward story like the

incredibly brutal weather in Siberia (where it hit minus 70

degrees, air temperature, in one city this week) isn”t being

covered because it would expose just how pitiful the nation”s

infrastructure is. Just imagine, in many of the Siberian cities they

can only afford to heat parts of them for brief periods at a

time…actually, it”s kind of like California!

Congo: How would you like to be Joseph Kabila, the 31-year-old

son of the recently assassinated leader, Laurent Kabila. Joseph is

now in charge. He looked scared out of his wits when I saw the

television clips this week. No one likes him, he has other

countries” armies on his territory (Angola, Zimbabwe, and

Namibia, for starters, and these are his “friends”), and the nation

is about to implode. The official betting line here says he is out

by March 15.

Japan: Is there a more corrupt nation on earth? In the span of a

few days, Japan”s top economic planner resigned under pressure

amidst a bribery scandal. Then a senior diplomat admitted that he

diverted $4.75 million in taxpayer money to his personal bank

account, as well as accounts set up for his various girlfriends (and

even his ex-wife). This latter guy proceeded to also buy 12

racehorses as well as golf club memberships.

Well, one thing you can say about the Land of the Setting Sun, at

least they take responsibility for their actions, or even the actions

of their subordinates. The foreign minister voluntarily returned

six months salary for the abhorrent behavior of his deputy.

As a result of these latest developments, Prime Minister Mori”s

approval rating has plummeted to an all-world low of minus 17%.

Colombia: Crucial period at hand as President Pastrana has to

decide whether or not to take back land he gave to the leading

rebel group, FARC, that had originally been intended as a peace

gesture. Talks between the two have now collapsed. This

situation gets darker and darker.

Mexico: We all need to light a candle for President Vicente Fox.

He has so much potential but he is facing all kinds of roadblocks

in his dealings with Mexico”s Congress. For example, Mexico

desperately needs a new power grid (production has been

increasing at 1-2%, while demand is growing 6-8% per

year…there it is again, California!) and the only way to

accomplish this is by opening up to foreign investment. But the

constitution in Mexico says you can”t do that and Congress

refuses to amend it.

Philippines: Now how about this for a market reaction? President

Estrada is kicked out and the first day the stock market can

respond, it rockets 34%, before closing up 17% on the day.

That would be like the Nasdaq going from 2750 to 3685, in a

matter of hours. [The rest of the week the market treaded water.]

Arms Trade

I was reading Defense News and I thought some of you may be

interested to learn the tale of a typical arms transaction these

days. The rest of you can immediately drop down to “Random

Musings.”

Talks between India and Russia have bogged down over 100 T90

tanks that Russia was to send to India, along with an agreement

for the production of 200 more that were to be built in India. The

export cost of a T90 is $2.7 million. But Ukraine has a tank that

is just as good, the T84, which cost $2.2 million.

Well, Russia also wants India to pay an additional $540,000 per

tank as an export commission! Man, are we in the wrong

businesses or what?

So why doesn”t India buy from Ukraine? They can”t because

Ukraine just sold 320 T84s to Pakistan. So Russia has India over

a barrel.

We now resume our regularly scheduled programming.

Random Musings

–My friend Jeff B. was livid about the service, or rather, the lack

thereof, he was getting from Microsoft this week. I”m sure many

of you were also affected by, first, Microsoft”s own ineptitude,

and, later, the hacker. So Jeff passed along some of his notes and

it really was quite startling. Every time he would call or e-mail

MSN / Member Support, they would shoot him over to billing.

–Boy, did you see Senator Byrd during the Greenspan hearing

this week? Just another walking advertisement for term limits.

In a similar vein, a very learned friend of mine, actually, perhaps

the most learned man I know, thought we should penalize states

for really ridiculous election results – with the penalty being the

loss of the position the next time it comes up for a vote.

Therefore, if a state elects as a Senator: (a) a dead man; (b)

someone over 90; (c) a former First Lady running for her first

elective job who has demonstrated no consensus-building skills;

or (d) a former investment banker who demonstrates fiscal

irresponsibility in his own campaign, then the electing states lose a

seat. And if California doesn”t solve their energy crisis, soon,

they lose two…that”s just a matter of principle.

–Newt Gingrich”s advice for our new president: “Take frequent

breaks at the ranch to refocus on the big issues and renew his

energies so he can remain optimistic and positive. Vince

Lombardi once noted that ”Fatigue makes cowards of us all.”

Fatigue also reduces presidents to micromanagement and bad

judgment.”

–Fidel Castro said that he hopes George W. is not “as stupid as

he seems.” This coming from a man whose nation”s main export

is sugar.

–Golfer Andrew Magee became the first PGA Tour player in

history to score a hole-in-one on a par 4 during this week”s

Phoenix Open. His tee shot on the 333-yard hole hit a putter on

the green (from the group playing in front of him) and ricocheted

in.

–Yak Update: This week”s tidbit (I have created a monster)

concerns the fact that the long-haired variety, native to Tibet and

Central Asia, inhabits barren heights up to 20,000 feet! But

domesticated varieties breed freely with domestic cattle. Ergo,

Mad Yak Disease!!

–In East Orange, New Jersey, a 10-year-old boy was arrested at

1:30 a.m. for driving a stolen car. Police said the kid told them

“some dudes” let him drive around for $10. The same kid was

involved in a burglary when he was 9. This is one child I”d leave

behind…behind bars.

–My friend Jimbo (geezuz, Jim, I just realized we”ve known each

other 30 years) said that Bill Clinton”s admission of guilt in his

agreement with the special prosecutor was better than any

Aesop”s fable when it comes to teaching the difference between

right and wrong to his children. Of course, now Jim also has to

teach them why you don”t steal your neighbor”s silverware or

trash their computer keyboards.

–That oil spill in the Galapagos Islands is truly tragic. They

should feed the captain to the Iguanas. But let the seals play with

him first.

–Speaking of environmental issues, the latest U.N. study on

global warming is out and the report projects that climate change

will be greater this century than the previous 10,000 years. It also

reiterates that the water level will rise 3 feet over the same period

and that temperatures may rise up to 10 degrees. Anything to

extend the golf season, I say.

–Jesse Jackson: Wow, he was in seclusion for all of 24 hours!

And then he reemerged, only to see his shadow. It was Dirtball

Day, of course. Jesse spoke to the church.

“I want to thank my family and my wife, a virtuous woman.”

[Notice how the fake Reverend hooked her into his mess.]

“…Life is not a straight line. There are curves in the road.”

[But isn”t it funny how the curves are almost always clearly

marked?]

–Tipper and Al Gore are slated to write a book on the American

family, possibly receiving a $1 million advance. Newsweek asked

an industry source if it would be worth it. “Probably not.”

–Bill and Hillary: Let loose the hounds. These two are toast.

I must say, it”s kind of gratifying knowing that all along many of

us were right. It”s also amazing that I could fill 15 pages on the

former First Couple, just on all that has transpired or has come to

light in the single week since they departed with the flatware.

For starters, there is the case of the pardon for Marc Rich. All he

was responsible for was the largest tax evasion in history, over

$50 million. He was a fugitive for 17 years and Rich never

admitted guilt or apologized. Ah, but he had friends in high

places. Israelis from Prime Minister Barak – remember, Barak”s

initial campaign for prime minister was engineered by James

Carville and fellow operative Bob Shrum – on down flooded

President Clinton with tales of Rich”s incredible philanthropy. He

supposedly gave $200 million to charities throughout Israel. So

what are we supposed to say, hey, he”s really a good guy? Hell

no. This guy is scum. And as Johnny Mac reminded me, this is a

crook who bounced checks to his employees as he was fleeing the

U.S.

Enter Rich”s ex-wife, Denise, she of the artificial body. [10-20%

is O.K. 95% should give you all the creeps.] Now Denise has

donated a mere $1 million to Democratic causes, as well as some

lovely furniture for the Clintons in the past few weeks. Pardon –

Rich.

[In the interests of full disclosure, Jack Quinn, Rich”s attorney,

had an op-ed piece in Friday”s Washington Post explaining his

side of the story. Not once did Quinn explain why, if Rich is

really innocent, he nonetheless fled the country.]

And what do you make of the four New York men who set up a

fake religious school which they then used to attract $40 million

in federal aid? Well, they happened to represent a crucial

constituency for Hillary during her Senate campaign. So let”s

pardon them!

It”s all sickening. The gifts, which were solicited before Hillary

fell under Senate ethics rules (source: NBC News); as well as the

acts of the Clinton staff, which were nothing but pure vandalism.

Of course, the above is minor compared to the real issues that

bothered me all along, like Chinese involvement in the ”96

campaign. Maybe the indictment this week of former Teamsters

boss Ron Carey will shed some light on the fundraising

shenanigans of some of Clinton”s close friends, namely Terry

McAuliffe.

But you know what may have been the best story of the week?

On Monday night, Bill and Chelsea went to see “Aida” in

Manhattan. At the end of the first act, as the curtain came down

and the lights went up, there was Bill, standing in the middle of

the orchestra pit. The audience roared its approval. How

dramatic. How sick.

And at his interminable farewell at Andrews Air Force Base, Bill

told his supporters, “You gave me the ride of my life.” As Peggy

Noonan wrote of our former president, “What a disturbed and

disgusting individual.”

Yes, this isn”t the first time you”ve heard it, but it needs to be

repeated…it was always all about him. And now Hillary hopes it

will be all about her. But guess what? As the gifts and pardons

hit the fan this week, on Friday Hillary suddenly canceled all of

her appointments. What could she possibly have been afraid of?

I say, how do you like your toast?

–IT: Well, many of you probably saw the articles last weekend.

Inventor Dean Kamen”s contraption that will change life as we

know it, “Ginger,” IT, is probably a scooter. A freakin”

scooter…and a $2,000 one to boot! And we”ve been told that

entire cities will be built around it. This is absolutely laughable.

The hook is supposed to be that IT can traverse irregular ground.

So, I guess that means you could take this scooter through your

neighbor”s backyard, thereby cutting off hundreds of feet from

your destination! Think of the productivity gains!

Of course, there is no protection from the elements. So what?

you might say. I”m changing the world! And if I”m hit by a car,

or run into my neighbor”s tree (thus pulling a Sonny Bono), that”s

O.K., too, because someone else will come along with IT and

drag me away!

But wait. Haven”t we seen this before? Perhaps a bicycle? Even

a mountain bike? And if we”re going this far, why not just give

everyone a golf cart? They go over irregular surfaces just fine.

And you can buy one with a roof.

–Super Bowl Prediction: Giants 4 – Ravens 2. [3 safeties.] And

here at StocksandNews, we wish Ray Lewis the worst.

Gold $263

Oil, $29.77 [New contract]

Returns for the week, 1/22-1/26

Dow Jones +0.7%

S&P 500 +0.9%

S&P MidCap +2.9%

Russell 2000 +2.2%

Nasdaq +0.4%

Returns for the period, 1/1/00-1/26/00

Dow Jones -1.2%

S&P 500 +2.6%

S&P MidCap +0.4%

Russell 2000 +3.1%

Nasdaq +12.6%

Bulls 56.8%

Bears 32.4%

Note: Here”s what we did with the ticker, folks. You will notice

a logo for Money.net to the left on the Home Page. Clicking on

that activates it. Frankly, I should have done this from the start,

as the site loads far faster for those of you who use a dial-up.

Please accept my apologies.

And, as always, I appreciate your support!

Brian Trumbore